Week ending August 27, 2010
Review of the emerging-markets bond sector, including: news, spreads, issuance and Payden & Rygel's outlook.
Emerging market dollar-pay debt spreads were marginally
tighter this week, as investor demand remained strong and
inflows in to the asset class continued. The US dollar-pay
JP Morgan EMBI Global index returned 12.72% (year-to-date
through August 26th, 2010).
In South Africa, inflation data showed CPI at 3.7% year-over-year
in July, which was lower than the expected 4%. The anticipated
municipal administered price hikes and the effect of the
soccer World Cup on inflation did not materialize. Local
bonds were stronger on the back of the news.
The Central
Bank in Hungary kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged
at 5.25%, in line with market expectations. In a statement
following the announcement, the governor mentioned that while
inflation remains well behaved, risks of the inflation target
not being met this year have increased due to the weakness
of the currency. Local bonds and currency were weaker on
the back of the softer risk tone.
| Spreads |
8/26/10 |
6/30/10 |
12/31/09 |
12/31/08 |
12/31/07 |
| EMBI Global |
+318 |
+358 |
+294 |
+724 |
+254 |
| Investment Grade |
+211 |
+243 |
+187 |
+525 |
+162 |
| BB-rated |
+416 |
+471 |
+385 |
+838 |
+271 |
| B-rated |
+580 |
+611 |
+559 |
+1,506 |
+473 |
| Yields |
8/26/10 |
6/30/10 |
12/31/09 |
12/31/08 |
12/31/07 |
| GBI-EM Global Div |
6.37 |
6.84 |
7.30 |
7.54 |
7.56 |
| Brazil (Ba1/BBB+) |
11.25 |
12.04 |
12.14 |
12.65 |
12.69 |
| Indonesia (B1/ BB+) |
8.45 |
8.94 |
10.23 |
11.84 |
10.18 |
| Turkey (Ba3/BB) |
8.33 |
8.98 |
9.40 |
16.50 |
16.10 |
Visit the Weekly Emerging Markets Review & Outlook archives page to browse past editions of the publication.