Week ending March 12, 2010
Review of the emerging-markets bond sector, including: news, spreads, issuance and Payden & Rygel's outlook.
Emerging market dollar-pay debt spreads tightened this
week. Risk appetite remained strong on good economic data
and the absence of significant negative headlines, resulting
in a rise in equities and commodities, as well as tightening
of credit spreads. The US dollar-pay JP Morgan EMBI Global
index returned 3.55 % (year-to-date through March 11th,
2010).
S&P raise the Long Term Foreign Currency rating of
Indonesia by one notch from BB- to BB. The rating agency
cited the improving government debt ratio and growing foreign
currency reserves as contributing factors to the positive
move. This move had been widely expected as the sovereign
had been placed on Positive Outlook in October 2009.
In Israel,
data released showed the current account surplus grew to
an impressive 3.2% for 2009. The growth in exports was the
main reason and the factor for the current economic recovery.
The currency was stronger this week.
| Spreads |
3/11/10 |
12/31/09 |
9/30/09 |
12/31/08 |
12/31/07 |
12/29/06 |
| EMBI Global |
+272 |
+294 |
+337 |
+724 |
+254 |
+171 |
| Investment Grade |
+173 |
+187 |
+240 |
+525 |
+162 |
+101 |
| BB-rated |
+353 |
+385 |
+413 |
+838 |
+271 |
+176 |
| B-rated |
+527 |
+559 |
+649 |
+1,506 |
+473 |
+238 |
| Yields |
3/11/10 |
12/31/09 |
9/30/09 |
12/31/08 |
12/31/07 |
12/29/06 |
| GBI-EM Global Div |
7.11 |
7.30 |
7.13 |
7.54 |
7.56 |
6.72 |
| Brazil (Ba1/BBB+) |
11.74 |
12.14 |
11.60 |
12.65 |
12.69 |
12.19 |
| Indonesia (B1/ BB+) |
9.59 |
10.23 |
10.20 |
11.84 |
10.18 |
10.16 |
| Turkey (Ba3/BB) |
9.51 |
9.40 |
8.99 |
16.50 |
16.10 |
19.45 |
Visit the Weekly Emerging Markets Review & Outlook archives page to browse past editions of the publication.